Who would you like your competition to be? Competing against
the best will make you stronger, but competing against the
weak is easier.
The past NFL season proves this point. The National
Football League calculates a statistic called "strength of
schedule," which gauges the relative strength of a team's
opponents based on their total won-lost records. A score of
.500 indicates a perfectly average schedule; a score above
.500 indicates a more difficult schedule relative to the
league average; a score below .500 indicates a relatively
lower quality of opponents.
The NFL works hard at "parity" in matching opponents
before each season, attempting to give losing teams (and
their fans) a better chance at success by scheduling the
best teams of the previous year against somewhat tougher
opponents. Yet a review of the season's results does not
suggest that the best teams had tougher schedules, and the
worst teams easier ones. The 2006 season shows the opposite
trend, with remarkable consistency.
Of the 10 best records in the league, nine had somewhat
easier schedules than average, with the exception of the
Super Bowl champion Indianapolis Colts, whose strength of
schedule exactly matched the league average. Of the 10 worst
records in the league, eight had somewhat tougher schedules
than the average.
How does this concept apply in business? Companies, of
course, have more latitude in whom they compete against than
do professional sports teams.
On the one hand, a market with no quality competitors is
likely an unprofitable niche. Although companies pay lip
service to competition, they strive for competitive
advantage over other companies in their industry, and
barriers to those considering entering their market.
The concept that you don't get points for "degree of
difficulty," but only for winning, is a familiar one to
poker players, who consider "game selection" a critical
skill. Choosing to consistently compete with players who are
better than you will result in their taking your money. As
poker legend Doyle Brunson once said, "What's the point of
being the seventh-best poker player in the world when you're
sitting down against the top six?"
Great military leaders understand the power of "hitting
them where they ain't," attacking the enemy where they are
weakest, rather than challenging their strongest forces. In
the Civil War, Stonewall Jackson and William Tecumseh
Sherman, masters of indirection, were more successful in
battle and more sparing of their soldiers' lives than were
Robert E. Lee and Ulysses S. Grant, their more-famous
commanders who preferred the direct attack.
Sometimes in business, talented people underachieve
because their intellectual curiosity or ego leads them to
compete in industries that are less profitable than
more-mundane but more-lucrative ones.
For those who consider mundane industries "beneath them,"
the joke is on them. Success, after all, is the ultimate in
prestige. Was overnight delivery of great consequence before
Fred Smith founded Federal Express? Was payroll processing a
"high-status" industry before Frank Lautenberg turned ADP
into a billion-dollar company?
Here are my four rules for choosing your competitive
niche:
1. Test yourself against the best. Make your money
against the rest: Going up against the best makes you
stronger, but if your competition is consistently superior,
you will likely exhaust yourself and lose the battle.
2. David will sometimes beat Goliath: Underdogs
win in business much more often than in the NFL. Small
companies can sometimes successfully use "competitive judo,"
leveraging speed and innovation to gain market share.
3. Working with the strong is easier than competing
against them: Working with great people is essential to
growth; competing against great people is a challenge to be
avoided when possible. The temptation to build monopolies is
often driven by the desire to work with the best competitors
rather than against them.
4. Stay hungry: Whether you are a nimble new
competitor, a niche provider or a market-dominating
800-pound gorilla, remaining aggressive and nimble is the
best way to ensure continued success. Big companies such as
General Electric and Intel have built their corporate
culture around being agile giants who do not take their
success for granted.
And remember another old poker maxim: "If you look around
the table and you can't spot the sucker, it's you."