In the aftermath of the dot-com crash, Warren Buffett once
again is regarded as the "Oracle of Omaha" for his
success as an investor. Buffett's philosophy of "value
investing" is deceptively simple -- analyze the fundamentals,
buy greatly undervalued businesses, buy only businesses you
understand.
In recent columns, I have dealt with outsourcing -- the trend
of corporations contracting functions such as information
technology, payroll or call centers to specialized service
providers. The reengineering of the Global Fortune 2000 during the
past 15 years resulted in a large increase in the outsourcing of
functions outside of a company's "core competence" or
"value proposition."
According to a 2002 study by Michael F. Corbett &
Associates in the firm's Global Outsourcing Market report, 14.8
percent of the typical business' operation was outsourced in 2001.
Global spending on outsourcing was $3.78 trillion in 2001. The
estimate for 2003 is $5.1 trillion. Two-thirds of outsourcing
spending is by large U.S.-based companies.
What should corporations consider in deciding whether to
outsource?
I would like to propose the concept of "value
outsourcing" -- applying Warren Buffet's investment
principles to making efficient and productive outsourcing
decisions. They are rooted in the work of investment banker
Benjamin Graham, Buffett's mentor and the author of "The
Intelligent Investor," as well as several additions unique to
Buffett.
How Buffett does it
The following are key principles of Buffett's investing
philosophy:
• Invest in businesses you understand. Buffett is
notorious for not investing in technology companies because he
doesn't understand them. He focuses his powerful analytical
abilities on the business fundamentals of relatively
straightforward industries such as insurance and media.
• Analyze the fundamentals. Make investment decisions
based on the underlying long-term performance of a company, not
short-term trends or indicators. As Buffett famously said,
"In the short term, the market is a popularity contest; in
the long term, it is a weighing machine."
• Buy at a significant discount. No matter how
rigorously you've worked to put a value on a business, there often
are unforeseen complications. A large margin of safety will raise
the odds that your investment will be profitable.
• Invest for the long term. Buffett has retained major
equity holdings in companies such as Geico, Dairy Queen and the
Washington Post for decades. His philosophy is that a good
company, bought at a favorable price, will continue appreciating
in value.
• Bet on people. Unlike Graham, who was strictly
concerned with the long-term quality and stability of corporate
earnings, Buffett also has focused on the executive team and
corporate culture of the companies in which he invests. An
owner/manager is much more likely to focus on long-term
profitability rather than short-term manipulation of financial
performance.
Similarly applied
The following are corresponding applications of Buffett's
principles to corporate outsourcing:
• Understand it, then outsource it. Outsource only
functions whose processes you understand. Outsourcers do something
you can do, only more efficiently, because of a special focus or
economies of scale. Payroll outsourcing is the classic example.
(If you can't efficiently manage the function yourself, then
the service provider is a consultant -- not an outsourcer. You may
want their help, but you won't save money on the transaction.)
• If you can't measure it, don't outsource it. Evaluate
the total cost of the function, whether done internally or by an
outsourcer. Avoid the temptation of using the cost savings of
offshore outsourcers to avoid the hard work of process
optimization; like adding technology to a mismanaged company, it
will only spur disorganization.
• Don't outsource for the sake of change. Like any
useful management innovation, outsourcing can be a valuable tool,
or a thoughtless substitute for strategic action. If you are going
to outsource based on cost efficiencies, there should be
substantial savings involved -- along with a sizable margin of
error as a hedge against the unexpected. The return on investment
should be monumental, not incremental.
• Outsource strategically, not tactically. When
possible, there should be a market-driven strategy for an
outsourcing initiative, such as building an offshore call center
to gain familiarity with a major foreign market.
Also, be careful to retain control of functions that harbor
critical information for your company's success, such as customer
satisfaction information from help desks or call centers. An
outsourcer is responsible only for satisfying a service-level
agreement, nothing more. And choose outsourcers based on their
track record, focus and stability, not just price.
• Bet on people. In the case of outsourcing, this has
several facets. First, make sure you have sophisticated executives
planning and negotiating your outsourcing agreements. Outsourcers
make their profits by negotiating complex agreements with contract
changes for additional or reduced resource requirements. I have
seen some companies hiring vice president-level "chief
sourcing officers" to even the odds.
Pick the right partner
Next, beware of cultural differences when outsourcing offshore.
Don't outsource to countries that violate author Ralph Peters'
"Seven Signs of Non-Competitive States."
Briefly, these are restrictions on the free flow of
information, the subjugation of women, inability to accept
responsibility for individual or collective failure, the extended
family or clan as the basic unit of social organization,
domination by a restrictive religion, a low valuation of education
and low prestige assigned to work.
India, for instance, passes all these tests. Some of its
prominent neighbors fail them all. A company with a global brand
and a knowledge-based strategy would be foolhardy to become
partners with firms in such countries, however talented or
inexpensive the services offered.
Outsourcing is here to stay; it is not a temporary management
fad. But like the reengineering of the early 1990s, only some
companies will leverage it successfully.